Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.011344 0.013798 0.016904 0.021226 0.027259 0.035674 0.048886
2024-11-03 0.008833 0.011765 0.016021 0.023033 0.035193 0.057617 0.109618
2024-11-10 0.007557 0.010683 0.015668 0.024975 0.044241 0.090417 0.259283
2024-11-17 0.006431 0.009447 0.014564 0.024984 0.049647 0.123566 0.567544
2024-11-24 0.005577 0.008426 0.013490 0.024532 0.053742 0.161467 1.350220
2024-12-01 0.004771 0.007330 0.012004 0.022632 0.052830 0.181639 2.704546
2024-12-08 0.004213 0.006573 0.011001 0.021482 0.053479 0.213236 7.758223
2024-12-15 0.003857 0.006126 0.010511 0.021394 0.057651 0.281072 114.642518
2024-12-22 0.003621 0.005860 0.010333 0.022036 0.065227 0.416851 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003378 0.005550 0.009999 0.022151 0.071068 0.593320 NaN
2025-01-05 0.003096 0.005127 0.009351 0.021172 0.071263 0.710912 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002899 0.004854 0.008996 0.020971 0.075425 0.991055 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002787 0.004762 0.009101 0.022470 0.092791 2.520948 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002695 0.004704 0.009288 0.024429 0.119016 12.951791 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002612 0.004650 0.009474 0.026539 0.154965 2264.763398 NaN
2025-02-09 0.002456 0.004418 0.009155 0.026550 0.172595 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002301 0.004172 0.008753 0.026058 0.184490 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002112 0.003831 0.008045 0.023994 0.170927 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001967 0.003579 0.007550 0.022747 0.167667 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001872 0.003431 0.007326 0.022652 0.182753 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001808 0.003348 0.007273 0.023347 0.216249 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001734 0.003234 0.007113 0.023472 0.242214 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.001635 0.003057 0.006743 0.022412 0.238064 NaN NaN